Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.186886 0.263909 0.350971 0.454448 0.572139 0.700183 0.848486
2025-11-09 0.069405 0.153848 0.268307 0.421684 0.612009 0.832903 1.102108
2025-11-16 0.020589 0.090127 0.207154 0.381915 0.613662 0.894685 1.248205
2025-11-23 0.003600 0.056873 0.174691 0.369285 0.641481 0.982390 1.420810
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.040237 0.161122 0.377824 0.692821 1.096029 1.622035
2025-12-07 NaN 0.024853 0.142056 0.373447 0.723672 1.181817 1.787797
2025-12-14 NaN 0.011833 0.118170 0.356055 0.732971 1.237606 1.914673
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009561 0.121946 0.385232 0.808810 1.380150 2.150150
2025-12-28 NaN 0.007822 0.126243 0.415001 0.885455 1.523862 2.387346
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005018 0.123491 0.430951 0.941253 1.639775 2.589422
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004970 0.133638 0.471487 1.034102 1.805420 2.854984
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004185 0.139169 0.503038 1.113456 1.953138 3.097977
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001751 0.131201 0.509388 1.157463 2.057528 3.291511
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.103992 0.473001 1.134382 2.070907 3.369067
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.077663 0.431063 1.098540 2.064043 3.418173
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.065268 0.417496 1.106290 2.116064 3.542532
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.062163 0.426630 1.151208 2.220006 3.734804
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.054550 0.421956 1.172309 2.290031 3.882347
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.043274 0.403392 1.168402 2.323778 3.981513
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.047965 0.434521 1.250918 2.481436 4.245171
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.052845 0.466212 1.334474 2.640692 4.511114
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053082 0.483166 1.392378 2.763250 4.728499
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.061527 0.526174 1.495817 2.951258 5.032924